Synthetic policy · visible-world rank #308 of 1,000

P0188

Small bets, infrequent. The visible result sits at the 36,2% percentile of this policy's 1,000 replicated outcomes.

VISIBLE RESULTWithin the 5–95% rangeNot evidence of a repeatable advantage

Current bankroll

R 9 658

Total allocated

R 10 0001 / 6 allocations

Observed lifetime P&L

-R 342

Expected P&L given wagers

-R 98Deviation -R 244

The six-month record

Profit and loss over time

Month-six visible P&L -R 342. Bankroll allocations used: 1.

The same policy under new random paths

-R 247

Median final P&L across worlds

5th–95th percentile: -R 645 to R 502
Finished ahead: 222 / 1,000 (22,2%)
At least one ruin: 0 / 1,000 (0,0%)
Median rank: #301 / 1,000

The fixed behaviour

Policy settings

Base stake: 0,26% of bankroll
Sessions / week: 0.521
Mean bets / session: 2.433
Loss multiplier: 1.0153×, capped at 1 escalations
Stop loss / win: 36,2% / 51,9% of session-start bankroll

The recorded exposure

Where the money was wagered

BaccaratR 2249 wagers · RTP 0,00%

High-Volatility Video SlotR 1777 wagers · RTP 84,75%

Lottery / JackpotR 1536 wagers · RTP 0,00%

Virtual Sports BettingR 1225 wagers · RTP 251,78%

American RouletteR 1014 wagers · RTP 151,49%

European RouletteR 773 wagers · RTP 0,00%

CrashR 743 wagers · RTP 0,00%

Craps / DiceR 482 wagers · RTP 0,00%

Three-Reel SlotR 261 wagers · RTP 100,00%

BlackjackR 241 wagers · RTP 200,00%

What this profile can — and cannot — show

A smaller loss is not a profit, and a high rank does not prove skill. Behaviour changes both the wagers selected and the amount of exposure. “Expected” and “luck” are descriptive components, not a perfect causal separation.

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