Synthetic policy · visible-world rank #292 of 1,000

P0192

Small bets, infrequent. The visible result sits at the 34,0% percentile of this policy's 1,000 replicated outcomes.

VISIBLE RESULTWithin the 5–95% rangeNot evidence of a repeatable advantage

Current bankroll

R 9 715

Total allocated

R 10 0001 / 6 allocations

Observed lifetime P&L

-R 285

Expected P&L given wagers

-R 38Deviation -R 247

The six-month record

Profit and loss over time

Month-six visible P&L -R 285. Bankroll allocations used: 1.

The same policy under new random paths

-R 193

Median final P&L across worlds

5th–95th percentile: -R 519 to R 591
Finished ahead: 235 / 1,000 (23,5%)
At least one ruin: 0 / 1,000 (0,0%)
Median rank: #284 / 1,000

The fixed behaviour

Policy settings

Base stake: 0,49% of bankroll
Sessions / week: 0.339
Mean bets / session: 1.687
Loss multiplier: 1.009×, capped at 1 escalations
Stop loss / win: 43,3% / 45,5% of session-start bankroll

The recorded exposure

Where the money was wagered

American RouletteR 1453 wagers · RTP 166,90%

BlackjackR 1453 wagers · RTP 0,00%

BaccaratR 1443 wagers · RTP 66,35%

Three-Reel SlotR 952 wagers · RTP 101,05%

Lottery / JackpotR 952 wagers · RTP 0,00%

CrashR 481 wagers · RTP 0,00%

European RouletteR 471 wagers · RTP 0,00%

What this profile can — and cannot — show

A smaller loss is not a profit, and a high rank does not prove skill. Behaviour changes both the wagers selected and the amount of exposure. “Expected” and “luck” are descriptive components, not a perfect causal separation.

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