Synthetic policy · visible-world rank #345 of 1,000

P0196

Small bets, infrequent. The visible result sits at the 1,5% percentile of this policy's 1,000 replicated outcomes.

VISIBLE RESULTTail resultNot evidence of a repeatable advantage

Current bankroll

R 9 483

Total allocated

R 10 0001 / 6 allocations

Observed lifetime P&L

-R 517

Expected P&L given wagers

-R 17Deviation -R 500

The six-month record

Profit and loss over time

Month-six visible P&L -R 517. Bankroll allocations used: 1.

The same policy under new random paths

-R 155

Median final P&L across worlds

5th–95th percentile: -R 424 to R 297
Finished ahead: 192 / 1,000 (19,2%)
At least one ruin: 0 / 1,000 (0,0%)
Median rank: #278 / 1,000

The fixed behaviour

Policy settings

Base stake: 0,52% of bankroll
Sessions / week: 0.336
Mean bets / session: 1.15
Loss multiplier: 1.0214×, capped at 2 escalations
Stop loss / win: 43,4% / 53,8% of session-start bankroll

The recorded exposure

Where the money was wagered

BaccaratR 1553 wagers · RTP 0,00%

American RouletteR 1042 wagers · RTP 0,00%

High-Volatility Video SlotR 1032 wagers · RTP 0,00%

Virtual Sports BettingR 531 wagers · RTP 0,00%

European RouletteR 511 wagers · RTP 0,00%

BlackjackR 511 wagers · RTP 0,00%

What this profile can — and cannot — show

A smaller loss is not a profit, and a high rank does not prove skill. Behaviour changes both the wagers selected and the amount of exposure. “Expected” and “luck” are descriptive components, not a perfect causal separation.

← Return to all 1,000 policies