Synthetic policy · visible-world rank #599 of 1,000

P0230

Medium bets, frequent. The visible result sits at the 69,7% percentile of this policy's 1,000 replicated outcomes.

VISIBLE RESULTWithin the 5–95% rangeNot evidence of a repeatable advantage

Current bankroll

R 7 142

Total allocated

R 10 0001 / 6 allocations

Observed lifetime P&L

-R 2 858

Expected P&L given wagers

-R 1 296Deviation -R 1 562

The six-month record

Profit and loss over time

Month-six visible P&L -R 2 858. Bankroll allocations used: 1.

The same policy under new random paths

-R 4 743

Median final P&L across worlds

5th–95th percentile: -R 7 422 to R 10 126
Finished ahead: 164 / 1,000 (16,4%)
At least one ruin: 0 / 1,000 (0,0%)
Median rank: #741 / 1,000

The fixed behaviour

Policy settings

Base stake: 1,93% of bankroll
Sessions / week: 1.615
Mean bets / session: 4.519
Loss multiplier: 1.0587×, capped at 1 escalations
Stop loss / win: 46,4% / 52,5% of session-start bankroll

The recorded exposure

Where the money was wagered

BlackjackR 8 05644 wagers · RTP 112,92%

Craps / DiceR 3 90123 wagers · RTP 108,59%

Virtual Sports BettingR 2 97618 wagers · RTP 87,05%

Three-Reel SlotR 2 60116 wagers · RTP 191,37%

American RouletteR 2 43613 wagers · RTP 15,89%

CrashR 2 42414 wagers · RTP 95,62%

Lottery / JackpotR 2 30023 wagers · RTP 26,09%

BaccaratR 1 99011 wagers · RTP 45,01%

European RouletteR 1 3377 wagers · RTP 72,92%

High-Volatility Video SlotR 1 0607 wagers · RTP 13,87%

What this profile can — and cannot — show

A smaller loss is not a profit, and a high rank does not prove skill. Behaviour changes both the wagers selected and the amount of exposure. “Expected” and “luck” are descriptive components, not a perfect causal separation.

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