Synthetic policy · visible-world rank #407 of 1,000

P0234

Medium bets, frequent. The visible result sits at the 68,8% percentile of this policy's 1,000 replicated outcomes.

VISIBLE RESULTWithin the 5–95% rangeNot evidence of a repeatable advantage

Current bankroll

R 9 078

Total allocated

R 10 0001 / 6 allocations

Observed lifetime P&L

-R 922

Expected P&L given wagers

-R 866Deviation -R 56

The six-month record

Profit and loss over time

Month-six visible P&L -R 922. Bankroll allocations used: 1.

The same policy under new random paths

-R 2 593

Median final P&L across worlds

5th–95th percentile: -R 5 332 to R 6 715
Finished ahead: 245 / 1,000 (24,5%)
At least one ruin: 0 / 1,000 (0,0%)
Median rank: #606 / 1,000

The fixed behaviour

Policy settings

Base stake: 1,72% of bankroll
Sessions / week: 1.96
Mean bets / session: 3.294
Loss multiplier: 1.0145×, capped at 2 escalations
Stop loss / win: 50,6% / 53,0% of session-start bankroll

The recorded exposure

Where the money was wagered

BlackjackR 8 09143 wagers · RTP 94,08%

Craps / DiceR 6 74638 wagers · RTP 94,01%

CrashR 2 76715 wagers · RTP 65,13%

BaccaratR 2 64115 wagers · RTP 104,35%

Three-Reel SlotR 2 13512 wagers · RTP 88,97%

Virtual Sports BettingR 1 7109 wagers · RTP 86,24%

High-Volatility Video SlotR 1 5689 wagers · RTP 22,26%

American RouletteR 1 3998 wagers · RTP 365,40%

European RouletteR 1 1967 wagers · RTP 23,75%

Lottery / JackpotR 5005 wagers · RTP 40,00%

What this profile can — and cannot — show

A smaller loss is not a profit, and a high rank does not prove skill. Behaviour changes both the wagers selected and the amount of exposure. “Expected” and “luck” are descriptive components, not a perfect causal separation.

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