Synthetic policy · visible-world rank #709 of 1,000

P0268

Medium bets, frequent. The visible result sits at the 51,9% percentile of this policy's 1,000 replicated outcomes.

VISIBLE RESULTWithin the 5–95% rangeNot evidence of a repeatable advantage

Current bankroll

R 5 417

Total allocated

R 10 0001 / 6 allocations

Observed lifetime P&L

-R 4 583

Expected P&L given wagers

-R 1 865Deviation -R 2 718

The six-month record

Profit and loss over time

Month-six visible P&L -R 4 583. Bankroll allocations used: 1.

The same policy under new random paths

-R 4 751

Median final P&L across worlds

5th–95th percentile: -R 7 631 to R 15 591
Finished ahead: 192 / 1,000 (19,2%)
At least one ruin: 0 / 1,000 (0,0%)
Median rank: #741 / 1,000

The fixed behaviour

Policy settings

Base stake: 2,16% of bankroll
Sessions / week: 1.429
Mean bets / session: 5.961
Loss multiplier: 1.0429×, capped at 2 escalations
Stop loss / win: 54,0% / 78,8% of session-start bankroll

The recorded exposure

Where the money was wagered

Virtual Sports BettingR 7 74945 wagers · RTP 85,38%

Craps / DiceR 7 34442 wagers · RTP 89,87%

BlackjackR 6 29334 wagers · RTP 81,79%

Three-Reel SlotR 5 44330 wagers · RTP 50,84%

High-Volatility Video SlotR 4 06822 wagers · RTP 67,01%

CrashR 2 86616 wagers · RTP 129,20%

BaccaratR 2 19613 wagers · RTP 96,72%

European RouletteR 1 98112 wagers · RTP 247,30%

American RouletteR 6253 wagers · RTP 0,00%

Lottery / JackpotR 6006 wagers · RTP 0,00%

What this profile can — and cannot — show

A smaller loss is not a profit, and a high rank does not prove skill. Behaviour changes both the wagers selected and the amount of exposure. “Expected” and “luck” are descriptive components, not a perfect causal separation.

← Return to all 1,000 policies