Synthetic policy · visible-world rank #509 of 1,000

P0269

Medium bets, frequent. The visible result sits at the 69,4% percentile of this policy's 1,000 replicated outcomes.

VISIBLE RESULTWithin the 5–95% rangeNot evidence of a repeatable advantage

Current bankroll

R 8 083

Total allocated

R 10 0001 / 6 allocations

Observed lifetime P&L

-R 1 917

Expected P&L given wagers

-R 1 733Deviation -R 184

The six-month record

Profit and loss over time

Month-six visible P&L -R 1 917. Bankroll allocations used: 1.

The same policy under new random paths

-R 3 894

Median final P&L across worlds

5th–95th percentile: -R 7 409 to R 10 202
Finished ahead: 204 / 1,000 (20,4%)
At least one ruin: 0 / 1,000 (0,0%)
Median rank: #697 / 1,000

The fixed behaviour

Policy settings

Base stake: 2,46% of bankroll
Sessions / week: 1.688
Mean bets / session: 4.382
Loss multiplier: 1.054×, capped at 2 escalations
Stop loss / win: 38,6% / 71,9% of session-start bankroll

The recorded exposure

Where the money was wagered

CrashR 12 05743 wagers · RTP 123,94%

BlackjackR 11 88944 wagers · RTP 91,90%

Craps / DiceR 9 45235 wagers · RTP 71,41%

Virtual Sports BettingR 5 32219 wagers · RTP 100,90%

European RouletteR 4 91018 wagers · RTP 51,06%

American RouletteR 2 89411 wagers · RTP 164,03%

BaccaratR 2 0908 wagers · RTP 126,51%

Three-Reel SlotR 1 6757 wagers · RTP 25,97%

Lottery / JackpotR 1 10011 wagers · RTP 127,27%

High-Volatility Video SlotR 7193 wagers · RTP 65,23%

What this profile can — and cannot — show

A smaller loss is not a profit, and a high rank does not prove skill. Behaviour changes both the wagers selected and the amount of exposure. “Expected” and “luck” are descriptive components, not a perfect causal separation.

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