Synthetic policy · visible-world rank #143 of 1,000

P0273

Medium bets, frequent. The visible result sits at the 86,6% percentile of this policy's 1,000 replicated outcomes.

VISIBLE RESULTWithin the 5–95% rangeNot evidence of a repeatable advantage

Current bankroll

R 10 992

Total allocated

R 10 0001 / 6 allocations

Observed lifetime P&L

R 992

Expected P&L given wagers

-R 1 555Deviation R 2 547

The six-month record

Profit and loss over time

Month-six visible P&L R 992. Bankroll allocations used: 1.

The same policy under new random paths

-R 3 285

Median final P&L across worlds

5th–95th percentile: -R 5 792 to R 8 491
Finished ahead: 174 / 1,000 (17,4%)
At least one ruin: 0 / 1,000 (0,0%)
Median rank: #659 / 1,000

The fixed behaviour

Policy settings

Base stake: 1,59% of bankroll
Sessions / week: 1.356
Mean bets / session: 4.292
Loss multiplier: 1.0516×, capped at 2 escalations
Stop loss / win: 49,5% / 53,8% of session-start bankroll

The recorded exposure

Where the money was wagered

BlackjackR 7 74739 wagers · RTP 91,38%

Craps / DiceR 5 30226 wagers · RTP 71,35%

High-Volatility Video SlotR 2 41512 wagers · RTP 48,86%

Three-Reel SlotR 2 23511 wagers · RTP 43,76%

European RouletteR 2 21212 wagers · RTP 376,85%

CrashR 1 6338 wagers · RTP 162,03%

American RouletteR 1 5418 wagers · RTP 126,28%

BaccaratR 1 5348 wagers · RTP 49,02%

Lottery / JackpotR 9009 wagers · RTP 0,00%

Virtual Sports BettingR 7794 wagers · RTP 75,72%

What this profile can — and cannot — show

A smaller loss is not a profit, and a high rank does not prove skill. Behaviour changes both the wagers selected and the amount of exposure. “Expected” and “luck” are descriptive components, not a perfect causal separation.

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