Synthetic policy · visible-world rank #80 of 1,000

P0289

Medium bets, frequent. The visible result sits at the 94,9% percentile of this policy's 1,000 replicated outcomes.

VISIBLE RESULTWithin the 5–95% rangeNot evidence of a repeatable advantage

Current bankroll

R 14 605

Total allocated

R 10 0001 / 6 allocations

Observed lifetime P&L

R 4 605

Expected P&L given wagers

-R 2 623Deviation R 7 228

The six-month record

Profit and loss over time

Month-six visible P&L R 4 605. Bankroll allocations used: 1.

The same policy under new random paths

-R 2 939

Median final P&L across worlds

5th–95th percentile: -R 5 478 to R 4 644
Finished ahead: 173 / 1,000 (17,3%)
At least one ruin: 0 / 1,000 (0,0%)
Median rank: #636 / 1,000

The fixed behaviour

Policy settings

Base stake: 1,27% of bankroll
Sessions / week: 1.962
Mean bets / session: 3.307
Loss multiplier: 1.0225×, capped at 1 escalations
Stop loss / win: 47,2% / 67,4% of session-start bankroll

The recorded exposure

Where the money was wagered

BlackjackR 7 65042 wagers · RTP 95,91%

Craps / DiceR 6 65237 wagers · RTP 91,25%

CrashR 4 09222 wagers · RTP 124,48%

American RouletteR 2 52914 wagers · RTP 251,13%

European RouletteR 2 13212 wagers · RTP 259,19%

Three-Reel SlotR 2 01311 wagers · RTP 135,32%

Virtual Sports BettingR 1 5759 wagers · RTP 95,77%

BaccaratR 1 5099 wagers · RTP 0,00%

High-Volatility Video SlotR 1 4488 wagers · RTP 13,47%

Lottery / JackpotR 6006 wagers · RTP 0,00%

What this profile can — and cannot — show

A smaller loss is not a profit, and a high rank does not prove skill. Behaviour changes both the wagers selected and the amount of exposure. “Expected” and “luck” are descriptive components, not a perfect causal separation.

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