Synthetic policy · visible-world rank #584 of 1,000

P0292

Medium bets, frequent. The visible result sits at the 65,5% percentile of this policy's 1,000 replicated outcomes.

VISIBLE RESULTWithin the 5–95% rangeNot evidence of a repeatable advantage

Current bankroll

R 7 374

Total allocated

R 10 0001 / 6 allocations

Observed lifetime P&L

-R 2 626

Expected P&L given wagers

-R 1 080Deviation -R 1 546

The six-month record

Profit and loss over time

Month-six visible P&L -R 2 626. Bankroll allocations used: 1.

The same policy under new random paths

-R 3 743

Median final P&L across worlds

5th–95th percentile: -R 6 578 to R 11 909
Finished ahead: 183 / 1,000 (18,3%)
At least one ruin: 0 / 1,000 (0,0%)
Median rank: #689 / 1,000

The fixed behaviour

Policy settings

Base stake: 1,61% of bankroll
Sessions / week: 1.962
Mean bets / session: 3.807
Loss multiplier: 1.0288×, capped at 2 escalations
Stop loss / win: 52,9% / 76,2% of session-start bankroll

The recorded exposure

Where the money was wagered

Craps / DiceR 6 49242 wagers · RTP 107,83%

American RouletteR 6 39041 wagers · RTP 56,28%

BlackjackR 5 88637 wagers · RTP 97,67%

BaccaratR 1 84012 wagers · RTP 143,37%

Virtual Sports BettingR 1 80412 wagers · RTP 84,36%

European RouletteR 1 73411 wagers · RTP 54,84%

CrashR 1 2468 wagers · RTP 265,07%

Three-Reel SlotR 1 1968 wagers · RTP 17,39%

High-Volatility Video SlotR 1 1207 wagers · RTP 81,70%

Lottery / JackpotR 1 00010 wagers · RTP 20,00%

What this profile can — and cannot — show

A smaller loss is not a profit, and a high rank does not prove skill. Behaviour changes both the wagers selected and the amount of exposure. “Expected” and “luck” are descriptive components, not a perfect causal separation.

← Return to all 1,000 policies