Synthetic policy · visible-world rank #389 of 1,000

P0301

Medium bets, infrequent. The visible result sits at the 52,1% percentile of this policy's 1,000 replicated outcomes.

VISIBLE RESULTWithin the 5–95% rangeNot evidence of a repeatable advantage

Current bankroll

R 9 241

Total allocated

R 10 0001 / 6 allocations

Observed lifetime P&L

-R 759

Expected P&L given wagers

-R 259Deviation -R 500

The six-month record

Profit and loss over time

Month-six visible P&L -R 759. Bankroll allocations used: 1.

The same policy under new random paths

-R 846

Median final P&L across worlds

5th–95th percentile: -R 2 428 to R 4 437
Finished ahead: 272 / 1,000 (27,2%)
At least one ruin: 0 / 1,000 (0,0%)
Median rank: #403 / 1,000

The fixed behaviour

Policy settings

Base stake: 1,76% of bankroll
Sessions / week: 0.533
Mean bets / session: 1.949
Loss multiplier: 1.0573×, capped at 2 escalations
Stop loss / win: 44,4% / 56,7% of session-start bankroll

The recorded exposure

Where the money was wagered

Virtual Sports BettingR 1 5749 wagers · RTP 114,23%

BaccaratR 1 0576 wagers · RTP 128,77%

High-Volatility Video SlotR 5553 wagers · RTP 33,33%

Three-Reel SlotR 5003 wagers · RTP 67,20%

Lottery / JackpotR 4004 wagers · RTP 0,00%

BlackjackR 3482 wagers · RTP 101,72%

American RouletteR 1811 wagers · RTP 0,00%

CrashR 1811 wagers · RTP 0,00%

Craps / DiceR 1781 wagers · RTP 200,00%

European RouletteR 1751 wagers · RTP 0,00%

What this profile can — and cannot — show

A smaller loss is not a profit, and a high rank does not prove skill. Behaviour changes both the wagers selected and the amount of exposure. “Expected” and “luck” are descriptive components, not a perfect causal separation.

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