Synthetic policy · visible-world rank #209 of 1,000

P0315

Medium bets, infrequent. The visible result sits at the 75,6% percentile of this policy's 1,000 replicated outcomes.

VISIBLE RESULTWithin the 5–95% rangeNot evidence of a repeatable advantage

Current bankroll

R 10 094

Total allocated

R 10 0001 / 6 allocations

Observed lifetime P&L

R 94

Expected P&L given wagers

-R 81Deviation R 175

The six-month record

Profit and loss over time

Month-six visible P&L R 94. Bankroll allocations used: 1.

The same policy under new random paths

-R 406

Median final P&L across worlds

5th–95th percentile: -R 1 303 to R 1 842
Finished ahead: 281 / 1,000 (28,1%)
At least one ruin: 0 / 1,000 (0,0%)
Median rank: #334 / 1,000

The fixed behaviour

Policy settings

Base stake: 1,29% of bankroll
Sessions / week: 0.464
Mean bets / session: 1.348
Loss multiplier: 1.077×, capped at 1 escalations
Stop loss / win: 38,7% / 57,9% of session-start bankroll

The recorded exposure

Where the money was wagered

Virtual Sports BettingR 6335 wagers · RTP 157,14%

Three-Reel SlotR 2742 wagers · RTP 97,08%

CrashR 2682 wagers · RTP 64,83%

European RouletteR 2662 wagers · RTP 92,48%

BlackjackR 2462 wagers · RTP 98,37%

American RouletteR 1371 wagers · RTP 0,00%

BaccaratR 1241 wagers · RTP 0,00%

Craps / DiceR 1201 wagers · RTP 200,00%

What this profile can — and cannot — show

A smaller loss is not a profit, and a high rank does not prove skill. Behaviour changes both the wagers selected and the amount of exposure. “Expected” and “luck” are descriptive components, not a perfect causal separation.

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