Synthetic policy · visible-world rank #340 of 1,000

P0330

Medium bets, infrequent. The visible result sits at the 48,1% percentile of this policy's 1,000 replicated outcomes.

VISIBLE RESULTWithin the 5–95% rangeNot evidence of a repeatable advantage

Current bankroll

R 9 515

Total allocated

R 10 0001 / 6 allocations

Observed lifetime P&L

-R 486

Expected P&L given wagers

-R 77Deviation -R 408

The six-month record

Profit and loss over time

Month-six visible P&L -R 486. Bankroll allocations used: 1.

The same policy under new random paths

-R 453

Median final P&L across worlds

5th–95th percentile: -R 1 352 to R 1 141
Finished ahead: 251 / 1,000 (25,1%)
At least one ruin: 0 / 1,000 (0,0%)
Median rank: #344 / 1,000

The fixed behaviour

Policy settings

Base stake: 1,73% of bankroll
Sessions / week: 0.497
Mean bets / session: 1.048
Loss multiplier: 1.0047×, capped at 2 escalations
Stop loss / win: 41,9% / 45,9% of session-start bankroll

The recorded exposure

Where the money was wagered

High-Volatility Video SlotR 3402 wagers · RTP 49,12%

CrashR 3382 wagers · RTP 125,00%

Craps / DiceR 3172 wagers · RTP 103,47%

Three-Reel SlotR 2992 wagers · RTP 109,03%

BaccaratR 2982 wagers · RTP 100,00%

American RouletteR 1691 wagers · RTP 0,00%

European RouletteR 1661 wagers · RTP 0,00%

Lottery / JackpotR 1001 wagers · RTP 0,00%

What this profile can — and cannot — show

A smaller loss is not a profit, and a high rank does not prove skill. Behaviour changes both the wagers selected and the amount of exposure. “Expected” and “luck” are descriptive components, not a perfect causal separation.

← Return to all 1,000 policies