Synthetic policy · visible-world rank #134 of 1,000

P0332

Medium bets, infrequent. The visible result sits at the 86,2% percentile of this policy's 1,000 replicated outcomes.

VISIBLE RESULTWithin the 5–95% rangeNot evidence of a repeatable advantage

Current bankroll

R 11 359

Total allocated

R 10 0001 / 6 allocations

Observed lifetime P&L

R 1 359

Expected P&L given wagers

-R 218Deviation R 1 577

The six-month record

Profit and loss over time

Month-six visible P&L R 1 359. Bankroll allocations used: 1.

The same policy under new random paths

-R 778

Median final P&L across worlds

5th–95th percentile: -R 2 683 to R 3 693
Finished ahead: 307 / 1,000 (30,7%)
At least one ruin: 0 / 1,000 (0,0%)
Median rank: #397 / 1,000

The fixed behaviour

Policy settings

Base stake: 2,23% of bankroll
Sessions / week: 0.36
Mean bets / session: 2.544
Loss multiplier: 1.0662×, capped at 1 escalations
Stop loss / win: 49,3% / 54,4% of session-start bankroll

The recorded exposure

Where the money was wagered

BaccaratR 1 8378 wagers · RTP 151,05%

Virtual Sports BettingR 1 1505 wagers · RTP 47,61%

CrashR 6603 wagers · RTP 43,94%

European RouletteR 6473 wagers · RTP 68,62%

Craps / DiceR 6403 wagers · RTP 200,00%

American RouletteR 4992 wagers · RTP 249,70%

BlackjackR 3952 wagers · RTP 200,00%

Lottery / JackpotR 2002 wagers · RTP 100,00%

High-Volatility Video SlotR 1851 wagers · RTP 0,00%

What this profile can — and cannot — show

A smaller loss is not a profit, and a high rank does not prove skill. Behaviour changes both the wagers selected and the amount of exposure. “Expected” and “luck” are descriptive components, not a perfect causal separation.

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