Synthetic policy · visible-world rank #381 of 1,000

P0342

Medium bets, infrequent. The visible result sits at the 52,4% percentile of this policy's 1,000 replicated outcomes.

VISIBLE RESULTWithin the 5–95% rangeNot evidence of a repeatable advantage

Current bankroll

R 9 279

Total allocated

R 10 0001 / 6 allocations

Observed lifetime P&L

-R 721

Expected P&L given wagers

-R 211Deviation -R 509

The six-month record

Profit and loss over time

Month-six visible P&L -R 721. Bankroll allocations used: 1.

The same policy under new random paths

-R 774

Median final P&L across worlds

5th–95th percentile: -R 2 300 to R 3 381
Finished ahead: 278 / 1,000 (27,8%)
At least one ruin: 0 / 1,000 (0,0%)
Median rank: #397 / 1,000

The fixed behaviour

Policy settings

Base stake: 1,85% of bankroll
Sessions / week: 0.478
Mean bets / session: 1.827
Loss multiplier: 1.0228×, capped at 1 escalations
Stop loss / win: 55,5% / 77,2% of session-start bankroll

The recorded exposure

Where the money was wagered

American RouletteR 7324 wagers · RTP 75,82%

BaccaratR 7214 wagers · RTP 44,94%

Craps / DiceR 5153 wagers · RTP 200,00%

Lottery / JackpotR 4004 wagers · RTP 0,00%

Virtual Sports BettingR 3582 wagers · RTP 106,52%

European RouletteR 3572 wagers · RTP 153,78%

High-Volatility Video SlotR 3482 wagers · RTP 0,00%

CrashR 3392 wagers · RTP 61,95%

What this profile can — and cannot — show

A smaller loss is not a profit, and a high rank does not prove skill. Behaviour changes both the wagers selected and the amount of exposure. “Expected” and “luck” are descriptive components, not a perfect causal separation.

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