Synthetic policy · visible-world rank #87 of 1,000

P0345

Medium bets, infrequent. The visible result sits at the 91,2% percentile of this policy's 1,000 replicated outcomes.

VISIBLE RESULTWithin the 5–95% rangeNot evidence of a repeatable advantage

Current bankroll

R 14 260

Total allocated

R 10 0001 / 6 allocations

Observed lifetime P&L

R 4 260

Expected P&L given wagers

-R 457Deviation R 4 716

The six-month record

Profit and loss over time

Month-six visible P&L R 4 260. Bankroll allocations used: 1.

The same policy under new random paths

-R 1 428

Median final P&L across worlds

5th–95th percentile: -R 3 747 to R 7 068
Finished ahead: 286 / 1,000 (28,6%)
At least one ruin: 0 / 1,000 (0,0%)
Median rank: #480 / 1,000

The fixed behaviour

Policy settings

Base stake: 2,17% of bankroll
Sessions / week: 0.692
Mean bets / session: 2.614
Loss multiplier: 1.0652×, capped at 1 escalations
Stop loss / win: 53,0% / 79,4% of session-start bankroll

The recorded exposure

Where the money was wagered

Three-Reel SlotR 2 83812 wagers · RTP 286,33%

Virtual Sports BettingR 2 65212 wagers · RTP 121,84%

CrashR 1 9527 wagers · RTP 155,28%

BaccaratR 1 3535 wagers · RTP 60,27%

American RouletteR 1 1375 wagers · RTP 0,00%

European RouletteR 7153 wagers · RTP 0,00%

High-Volatility Video SlotR 4812 wagers · RTP 0,00%

BlackjackR 3952 wagers · RTP 200,00%

Craps / DiceR 2111 wagers · RTP 0,00%

What this profile can — and cannot — show

A smaller loss is not a profit, and a high rank does not prove skill. Behaviour changes both the wagers selected and the amount of exposure. “Expected” and “luck” are descriptive components, not a perfect causal separation.

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