Synthetic policy · visible-world rank #102 of 1,000

P0359

Medium bets, infrequent. The visible result sits at the 93,4% percentile of this policy's 1,000 replicated outcomes.

VISIBLE RESULTWithin the 5–95% rangeNot evidence of a repeatable advantage

Current bankroll

R 12 826

Total allocated

R 10 0001 / 6 allocations

Observed lifetime P&L

R 2 826

Expected P&L given wagers

-R 345Deviation R 3 170

The six-month record

Profit and loss over time

Month-six visible P&L R 2 826. Bankroll allocations used: 1.

The same policy under new random paths

-R 1 162

Median final P&L across worlds

5th–95th percentile: -R 3 420 to R 3 227
Finished ahead: 274 / 1,000 (27,4%)
At least one ruin: 0 / 1,000 (0,0%)
Median rank: #444 / 1,000

The fixed behaviour

Policy settings

Base stake: 2,50% of bankroll
Sessions / week: 0.569
Mean bets / session: 2.367
Loss multiplier: 1.0505×, capped at 1 escalations
Stop loss / win: 53,9% / 71,0% of session-start bankroll

The recorded exposure

Where the money was wagered

CrashR 2 31810 wagers · RTP 28,33%

BaccaratR 1 8268 wagers · RTP 65,82%

Virtual Sports BettingR 1 6327 wagers · RTP 167,07%

BlackjackR 7884 wagers · RTP 105,33%

Craps / DiceR 7353 wagers · RTP 46,53%

American RouletteR 6693 wagers · RTP 0,00%

Three-Reel SlotR 6303 wagers · RTP 896,75%

European RouletteR 4862 wagers · RTP 183,95%

High-Volatility Video SlotR 3702 wagers · RTP 48,38%

Lottery / JackpotR 2002 wagers · RTP 0,00%

What this profile can — and cannot — show

A smaller loss is not a profit, and a high rank does not prove skill. Behaviour changes both the wagers selected and the amount of exposure. “Expected” and “luck” are descriptive components, not a perfect causal separation.

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