Synthetic policy · visible-world rank #544 of 1,000

P0366

Medium bets, infrequent. The visible result sits at the 34,8% percentile of this policy's 1,000 replicated outcomes.

VISIBLE RESULTWithin the 5–95% rangeNot evidence of a repeatable advantage

Current bankroll

R 7 771

Total allocated

R 10 0001 / 6 allocations

Observed lifetime P&L

-R 2 229

Expected P&L given wagers

-R 212Deviation -R 2 017

The six-month record

Profit and loss over time

Month-six visible P&L -R 2 229. Bankroll allocations used: 1.

The same policy under new random paths

-R 1 702

Median final P&L across worlds

5th–95th percentile: -R 3 659 to R 6 873
Finished ahead: 205 / 1,000 (20,5%)
At least one ruin: 0 / 1,000 (0,0%)
Median rank: #512 / 1,000

The fixed behaviour

Policy settings

Base stake: 2,22% of bankroll
Sessions / week: 0.748
Mean bets / session: 2.038
Loss multiplier: 1.0382×, capped at 1 escalations
Stop loss / win: 46,9% / 50,3% of session-start bankroll

The recorded exposure

Where the money was wagered

BaccaratR 1 89510 wagers · RTP 72,65%

High-Volatility Video SlotR 1 2556 wagers · RTP 85,66%

Craps / DiceR 7924 wagers · RTP 98,48%

American RouletteR 5983 wagers · RTP 0,00%

BlackjackR 5603 wagers · RTP 136,07%

Virtual Sports BettingR 5163 wagers · RTP 100,08%

CrashR 4222 wagers · RTP 0,00%

Three-Reel SlotR 3962 wagers · RTP 0,00%

European RouletteR 2051 wagers · RTP 0,00%

Lottery / JackpotR 1001 wagers · RTP 0,00%

What this profile can — and cannot — show

A smaller loss is not a profit, and a high rank does not prove skill. Behaviour changes both the wagers selected and the amount of exposure. “Expected” and “luck” are descriptive components, not a perfect causal separation.

← Return to all 1,000 policies