Synthetic policy · visible-world rank #370 of 1,000

P0367

Medium bets, infrequent. The visible result sits at the 43,7% percentile of this policy's 1,000 replicated outcomes.

VISIBLE RESULTWithin the 5–95% rangeNot evidence of a repeatable advantage

Current bankroll

R 9 376

Total allocated

R 10 0001 / 6 allocations

Observed lifetime P&L

-R 624

Expected P&L given wagers

-R 182Deviation -R 442

The six-month record

Profit and loss over time

Month-six visible P&L -R 624. Bankroll allocations used: 1.

The same policy under new random paths

-R 509

Median final P&L across worlds

5th–95th percentile: -R 1 589 to R 1 753
Finished ahead: 283 / 1,000 (28,3%)
At least one ruin: 0 / 1,000 (0,0%)
Median rank: #356 / 1,000

The fixed behaviour

Policy settings

Base stake: 1,25% of bankroll
Sessions / week: 0.364
Mean bets / session: 2.849
Loss multiplier: 1.0569×, capped at 2 escalations
Stop loss / win: 52,7% / 46,9% of session-start bankroll

The recorded exposure

Where the money was wagered

BaccaratR 1 0458 wagers · RTP 84,29%

Virtual Sports BettingR 7896 wagers · RTP 134,62%

Craps / DiceR 5214 wagers · RTP 99,81%

Three-Reel SlotR 5064 wagers · RTP 65,02%

High-Volatility Video SlotR 3893 wagers · RTP 0,00%

European RouletteR 3633 wagers · RTP 99,17%

Lottery / JackpotR 3003 wagers · RTP 0,00%

CrashR 2552 wagers · RTP 101,96%

BlackjackR 1321 wagers · RTP 200,00%

What this profile can — and cannot — show

A smaller loss is not a profit, and a high rank does not prove skill. Behaviour changes both the wagers selected and the amount of exposure. “Expected” and “luck” are descriptive components, not a perfect causal separation.

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