Synthetic policy · visible-world rank #319 of 1,000

P0371

Medium bets, infrequent. The visible result sits at the 53,1% percentile of this policy's 1,000 replicated outcomes.

VISIBLE RESULTWithin the 5–95% rangeNot evidence of a repeatable advantage

Current bankroll

R 9 605

Total allocated

R 10 0001 / 6 allocations

Observed lifetime P&L

-R 395

Expected P&L given wagers

-R 85Deviation -R 310

The six-month record

Profit and loss over time

Month-six visible P&L -R 395. Bankroll allocations used: 1.

The same policy under new random paths

-R 451

Median final P&L across worlds

5th–95th percentile: -R 1 432 to R 1 857
Finished ahead: 274 / 1,000 (27,4%)
At least one ruin: 0 / 1,000 (0,0%)
Median rank: #348 / 1,000

The fixed behaviour

Policy settings

Base stake: 1,36% of bankroll
Sessions / week: 0.372
Mean bets / session: 1.896
Loss multiplier: 1.0212×, capped at 2 escalations
Stop loss / win: 46,5% / 67,3% of session-start bankroll

The recorded exposure

Where the money was wagered

BaccaratR 9517 wagers · RTP 96,11%

European RouletteR 5234 wagers · RTP 49,33%

High-Volatility Video SlotR 2762 wagers · RTP 0,00%

Virtual Sports BettingR 2692 wagers · RTP 230,95%

Three-Reel SlotR 2622 wagers · RTP 73,66%

BlackjackR 1341 wagers · RTP 100,00%

Lottery / JackpotR 1001 wagers · RTP 0,00%

What this profile can — and cannot — show

A smaller loss is not a profit, and a high rank does not prove skill. Behaviour changes both the wagers selected and the amount of exposure. “Expected” and “luck” are descriptive components, not a perfect causal separation.

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