Synthetic policy · visible-world rank #175 of 1,000

P0382

Medium bets, infrequent. The visible result sits at the 76,3% percentile of this policy's 1,000 replicated outcomes.

VISIBLE RESULTWithin the 5–95% rangeNot evidence of a repeatable advantage

Current bankroll

R 10 353

Total allocated

R 10 0001 / 6 allocations

Observed lifetime P&L

R 353

Expected P&L given wagers

-R 437Deviation R 790

The six-month record

Profit and loss over time

Month-six visible P&L R 353. Bankroll allocations used: 1.

The same policy under new random paths

-R 1 244

Median final P&L across worlds

5th–95th percentile: -R 3 313 to R 4 359
Finished ahead: 272 / 1,000 (27,2%)
At least one ruin: 0 / 1,000 (0,0%)
Median rank: #458 / 1,000

The fixed behaviour

Policy settings

Base stake: 1,80% of bankroll
Sessions / week: 0.57
Mean bets / session: 2.71
Loss multiplier: 1.0097×, capped at 2 escalations
Stop loss / win: 40,8% / 60,6% of session-start bankroll

The recorded exposure

Where the money was wagered

American RouletteR 2 45913 wagers · RTP 76,13%

Virtual Sports BettingR 2 30412 wagers · RTP 106,73%

BaccaratR 1 6239 wagers · RTP 97,91%

CrashR 1 1896 wagers · RTP 165,66%

High-Volatility Video SlotR 5173 wagers · RTP 152,80%

European RouletteR 4182 wagers · RTP 0,00%

BlackjackR 2091 wagers · RTP 0,00%

Lottery / JackpotR 2002 wagers · RTP 0,00%

Craps / DiceR 1481 wagers · RTP 500,00%

What this profile can — and cannot — show

A smaller loss is not a profit, and a high rank does not prove skill. Behaviour changes both the wagers selected and the amount of exposure. “Expected” and “luck” are descriptive components, not a perfect causal separation.

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