Synthetic policy · visible-world rank #145 of 1,000

P0385

Medium bets, infrequent. The visible result sits at the 86,0% percentile of this policy's 1,000 replicated outcomes.

VISIBLE RESULTWithin the 5–95% rangeNot evidence of a repeatable advantage

Current bankroll

R 10 952

Total allocated

R 10 0001 / 6 allocations

Observed lifetime P&L

R 952

Expected P&L given wagers

-R 226Deviation R 1 178

The six-month record

Profit and loss over time

Month-six visible P&L R 952. Bankroll allocations used: 1.

The same policy under new random paths

-R 1 010

Median final P&L across worlds

5th–95th percentile: -R 3 095 to R 5 522
Finished ahead: 250 / 1,000 (25,0%)
At least one ruin: 0 / 1,000 (0,0%)
Median rank: #428 / 1,000

The fixed behaviour

Policy settings

Base stake: 2,65% of bankroll
Sessions / week: 0.356
Mean bets / session: 2.292
Loss multiplier: 1.0445×, capped at 2 escalations
Stop loss / win: 39,1% / 56,2% of session-start bankroll

The recorded exposure

Where the money was wagered

Three-Reel SlotR 1 6877 wagers · RTP 74,10%

BaccaratR 1 6246 wagers · RTP 132,51%

Virtual Sports BettingR 8593 wagers · RTP 137,93%

European RouletteR 3081 wagers · RTP 300,00%

Craps / DiceR 2891 wagers · RTP 200,00%

CrashR 2641 wagers · RTP 0,00%

High-Volatility Video SlotR 2331 wagers · RTP 0,00%

BlackjackR 2181 wagers · RTP 250,00%

Lottery / JackpotR 2002 wagers · RTP 0,00%

What this profile can — and cannot — show

A smaller loss is not a profit, and a high rank does not prove skill. Behaviour changes both the wagers selected and the amount of exposure. “Expected” and “luck” are descriptive components, not a perfect causal separation.

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