Synthetic policy · visible-world rank #666 of 1,000

P0392

Medium bets, infrequent. The visible result sits at the 7,5% percentile of this policy's 1,000 replicated outcomes.

VISIBLE RESULTWithin the 5–95% rangeNot evidence of a repeatable advantage

Current bankroll

R 6 050

Total allocated

R 10 0001 / 6 allocations

Observed lifetime P&L

-R 3 950

Expected P&L given wagers

-R 297Deviation -R 3 653

The six-month record

Profit and loss over time

Month-six visible P&L -R 3 950. Bankroll allocations used: 1.

The same policy under new random paths

-R 1 856

Median final P&L across worlds

5th–95th percentile: -R 4 205 to R 6 020
Finished ahead: 245 / 1,000 (24,5%)
At least one ruin: 0 / 1,000 (0,0%)
Median rank: #531 / 1,000

The fixed behaviour

Policy settings

Base stake: 2,72% of bankroll
Sessions / week: 0.661
Mean bets / session: 2.428
Loss multiplier: 1.0775×, capped at 1 escalations
Stop loss / win: 42,5% / 61,8% of session-start bankroll

The recorded exposure

Where the money was wagered

American RouletteR 1 6477 wagers · RTP 0,00%

BaccaratR 1 3305 wagers · RTP 22,18%

Three-Reel SlotR 1 1935 wagers · RTP 103,77%

BlackjackR 1 1895 wagers · RTP 99,92%

Virtual Sports BettingR 1 0384 wagers · RTP 42,74%

High-Volatility Video SlotR 2501 wagers · RTP 0,00%

European RouletteR 2441 wagers · RTP 0,00%

Craps / DiceR 2241 wagers · RTP 0,00%

What this profile can — and cannot — show

A smaller loss is not a profit, and a high rank does not prove skill. Behaviour changes both the wagers selected and the amount of exposure. “Expected” and “luck” are descriptive components, not a perfect causal separation.

← Return to all 1,000 policies