Synthetic policy · visible-world rank #214 of 1,000

P0395

Medium bets, infrequent. The visible result sits at the 75,0% percentile of this policy's 1,000 replicated outcomes.

VISIBLE RESULTWithin the 5–95% rangeNot evidence of a repeatable advantage

Current bankroll

R 10 072

Total allocated

R 10 0001 / 6 allocations

Observed lifetime P&L

R 72

Expected P&L given wagers

-R 212Deviation R 284

The six-month record

Profit and loss over time

Month-six visible P&L R 72. Bankroll allocations used: 1.

The same policy under new random paths

-R 907

Median final P&L across worlds

5th–95th percentile: -R 2 600 to R 4 338
Finished ahead: 259 / 1,000 (25,9%)
At least one ruin: 0 / 1,000 (0,0%)
Median rank: #412 / 1,000

The fixed behaviour

Policy settings

Base stake: 2,15% of bankroll
Sessions / week: 0.635
Mean bets / session: 1.783
Loss multiplier: 1.0218×, capped at 2 escalations
Stop loss / win: 55,2% / 54,0% of session-start bankroll

The recorded exposure

Where the money was wagered

BaccaratR 1 4367 wagers · RTP 111,62%

Virtual Sports BettingR 1 4097 wagers · RTP 164,86%

Three-Reel SlotR 1 2386 wagers · RTP 93,86%

European RouletteR 4162 wagers · RTP 0,00%

CrashR 2261 wagers · RTP 0,00%

BlackjackR 2241 wagers · RTP 200,00%

High-Volatility Video SlotR 2171 wagers · RTP 0,00%

American RouletteR 1981 wagers · RTP 0,00%

Lottery / JackpotR 1001 wagers · RTP 0,00%

What this profile can — and cannot — show

A smaller loss is not a profit, and a high rank does not prove skill. Behaviour changes both the wagers selected and the amount of exposure. “Expected” and “luck” are descriptive components, not a perfect causal separation.

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