Synthetic policy · visible-world rank #373 of 1,000

P0398

Medium bets, infrequent. The visible result sits at the 33,2% percentile of this policy's 1,000 replicated outcomes.

VISIBLE RESULTWithin the 5–95% rangeNot evidence of a repeatable advantage

Current bankroll

R 9 346

Total allocated

R 10 0001 / 6 allocations

Observed lifetime P&L

-R 654

Expected P&L given wagers

-R 74Deviation -R 581

The six-month record

Profit and loss over time

Month-six visible P&L -R 654. Bankroll allocations used: 1.

The same policy under new random paths

-R 338

Median final P&L across worlds

5th–95th percentile: -R 1 591 to R 1 811
Finished ahead: 331 / 1,000 (33,1%)
At least one ruin: 0 / 1,000 (0,0%)
Median rank: #321 / 1,000

The fixed behaviour

Policy settings

Base stake: 2,17% of bankroll
Sessions / week: 0.417
Mean bets / session: 1.005
Loss multiplier: 1.0719×, capped at 1 escalations
Stop loss / win: 57,1% / 58,1% of session-start bankroll

The recorded exposure

Where the money was wagered

BaccaratR 8614 wagers · RTP 72,31%

Virtual Sports BettingR 4402 wagers · RTP 79,88%

American RouletteR 4382 wagers · RTP 102,74%

European RouletteR 2301 wagers · RTP 0,00%

Three-Reel SlotR 2191 wagers · RTP 50,00%

What this profile can — and cannot — show

A smaller loss is not a profit, and a high rank does not prove skill. Behaviour changes both the wagers selected and the amount of exposure. “Expected” and “luck” are descriptive components, not a perfect causal separation.

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