Synthetic policy · visible-world rank #942 of 1,000

P0445

Large bets, frequent. The visible result sits at the 55,9% percentile of this policy's 1,000 replicated outcomes.

VISIBLE RESULTWithin the 5–95% rangeNot evidence of a repeatable advantage

Current bankroll

R 167

Total allocated

R 10 0001 / 6 allocations

Observed lifetime P&L

-R 9 833

Expected P&L given wagers

-R 2 887Deviation -R 6 946

The six-month record

Profit and loss over time

Month-six visible P&L -R 9 833. Bankroll allocations used: 1.

The same policy under new random paths

-R 9 976

Median final P&L across worlds

5th–95th percentile: -R 19 867 to R 35 921
Finished ahead: 258 / 1,000 (25,8%)
At least one ruin: 548 / 1,000 (54,8%)
Median rank: #965 / 1,000

The fixed behaviour

Policy settings

Base stake: 19,27% of bankroll
Sessions / week: 1.492
Mean bets / session: 5.044
Loss multiplier: 1.0295×, capped at 1 escalations
Stop loss / win: 79,9% / 81,6% of session-start bankroll

The recorded exposure

Where the money was wagered

CrashR 15 34936 wagers · RTP 60,48%

European RouletteR 12 10617 wagers · RTP 49,94%

BlackjackR 11 83419 wagers · RTP 70,26%

BaccaratR 9 57215 wagers · RTP 67,70%

American RouletteR 9 50111 wagers · RTP 207,77%

High-Volatility Video SlotR 6 48031 wagers · RTP 53,09%

Three-Reel SlotR 5 69930 wagers · RTP 162,80%

Craps / DiceR 3 2744 wagers · RTP 79,41%

Virtual Sports BettingR 1 6784 wagers · RTP 76,42%

Lottery / JackpotR 8059 wagers · RTP 0,00%

What this profile can — and cannot — show

A smaller loss is not a profit, and a high rank does not prove skill. Behaviour changes both the wagers selected and the amount of exposure. “Expected” and “luck” are descriptive components, not a perfect causal separation.

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