Synthetic policy · visible-world rank #874 of 1,000

P0460

Large bets, frequent. The visible result sits at the 53,0% percentile of this policy's 1,000 replicated outcomes.

VISIBLE RESULTWithin the 5–95% rangeNot evidence of a repeatable advantage

Current bankroll

R 1 747

Total allocated

R 10 0001 / 6 allocations

Observed lifetime P&L

-R 8 253

Expected P&L given wagers

-R 1 761Deviation -R 6 492

The six-month record

Profit and loss over time

Month-six visible P&L -R 8 253. Bankroll allocations used: 1.

The same policy under new random paths

-R 8 738

Median final P&L across worlds

5th–95th percentile: -R 10 000 to R 29 762
Finished ahead: 213 / 1,000 (21,3%)
At least one ruin: 80 / 1,000 (8,0%)
Median rank: #889 / 1,000

The fixed behaviour

Policy settings

Base stake: 16,93% of bankroll
Sessions / week: 1.762
Mean bets / session: 3.507
Loss multiplier: 1.0071×, capped at 1 escalations
Stop loss / win: 83,5% / 86,7% of session-start bankroll

The recorded exposure

Where the money was wagered

CrashR 8 64032 wagers · RTP 94,89%

High-Volatility Video SlotR 6 39526 wagers · RTP 57,31%

BlackjackR 4 05915 wagers · RTP 94,85%

BaccaratR 3 68214 wagers · RTP 99,02%

American RouletteR 2 75010 wagers · RTP 80,00%

European RouletteR 2 75010 wagers · RTP 60,00%

Three-Reel SlotR 2 50010 wagers · RTP 10,00%

Lottery / JackpotR 2 40024 wagers · RTP 33,33%

Virtual Sports BettingR 2 0408 wagers · RTP 145,23%

Craps / DiceR 1 6346 wagers · RTP 84,15%

What this profile can — and cannot — show

A smaller loss is not a profit, and a high rank does not prove skill. Behaviour changes both the wagers selected and the amount of exposure. “Expected” and “luck” are descriptive components, not a perfect causal separation.

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