Synthetic policy · visible-world rank #889 of 1,000

P0462

Large bets, frequent. The visible result sits at the 55,7% percentile of this policy's 1,000 replicated outcomes.

VISIBLE RESULTWithin the 5–95% rangeNot evidence of a repeatable advantage

Current bankroll

R 1 406

Total allocated

R 10 0001 / 6 allocations

Observed lifetime P&L

-R 8 594

Expected P&L given wagers

-R 2 308Deviation -R 6 286

The six-month record

Profit and loss over time

Month-six visible P&L -R 8 594. Bankroll allocations used: 1.

The same policy under new random paths

-R 9 549

Median final P&L across worlds

5th–95th percentile: -R 13 776 to R 30 075
Finished ahead: 238 / 1,000 (23,8%)
At least one ruin: 252 / 1,000 (25,2%)
Median rank: #920 / 1,000

The fixed behaviour

Policy settings

Base stake: 16,32% of bankroll
Sessions / week: 1.606
Mean bets / session: 5.54
Loss multiplier: 1.0954×, capped at 1 escalations
Stop loss / win: 80,6% / 133,4% of session-start bankroll

The recorded exposure

Where the money was wagered

High-Volatility Video SlotR 11 81857 wagers · RTP 88,66%

CrashR 10 03149 wagers · RTP 63,02%

American RouletteR 5 80429 wagers · RTP 129,03%

Craps / DiceR 5 08523 wagers · RTP 101,79%

BlackjackR 5 04426 wagers · RTP 92,35%

BaccaratR 4 31319 wagers · RTP 110,53%

European RouletteR 2 76813 wagers · RTP 35,98%

Lottery / JackpotR 2 09121 wagers · RTP 19,13%

Virtual Sports BettingR 1 6998 wagers · RTP 0,00%

Three-Reel SlotR 1 5897 wagers · RTP 85,71%

What this profile can — and cannot — show

A smaller loss is not a profit, and a high rank does not prove skill. Behaviour changes both the wagers selected and the amount of exposure. “Expected” and “luck” are descriptive components, not a perfect causal separation.

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