Synthetic policy · visible-world rank #865 of 1,000

P0483

Large bets, frequent. The visible result sits at the 66,0% percentile of this policy's 1,000 replicated outcomes.

VISIBLE RESULTWithin the 5–95% rangeNot evidence of a repeatable advantage

Current bankroll

R 2 007

Total allocated

R 10 0001 / 6 allocations

Observed lifetime P&L

-R 7 993

Expected P&L given wagers

-R 2 863Deviation -R 5 130

The six-month record

Profit and loss over time

Month-six visible P&L -R 7 993. Bankroll allocations used: 1.

The same policy under new random paths

-R 9 551

Median final P&L across worlds

5th–95th percentile: -R 9 986 to R 30 289
Finished ahead: 210 / 1,000 (21,0%)
At least one ruin: 9 / 1,000 (0,9%)
Median rank: #919 / 1,000

The fixed behaviour

Policy settings

Base stake: 9,61% of bankroll
Sessions / week: 1.567
Mean bets / session: 4.193
Loss multiplier: 1.0335×, capped at 1 escalations
Stop loss / win: 65,8% / 124,6% of session-start bankroll

The recorded exposure

Where the money was wagered

BlackjackR 15 65829 wagers · RTP 84,00%

CrashR 14 91536 wagers · RTP 173,56%

High-Volatility Video SlotR 9 44038 wagers · RTP 18,54%

Craps / DiceR 6 70313 wagers · RTP 114,90%

American RouletteR 5 96612 wagers · RTP 42,78%

BaccaratR 5 95511 wagers · RTP 134,73%

European RouletteR 5 17510 wagers · RTP 35,25%

Virtual Sports BettingR 3 5007 wagers · RTP 20,81%

Three-Reel SlotR 2 50010 wagers · RTP 20,00%

Lottery / JackpotR 5005 wagers · RTP 40,00%

What this profile can — and cannot — show

A smaller loss is not a profit, and a high rank does not prove skill. Behaviour changes both the wagers selected and the amount of exposure. “Expected” and “luck” are descriptive components, not a perfect causal separation.

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