Synthetic policy · visible-world rank #146 of 1,000

P0488

Large bets, frequent. The visible result sits at the 77,5% percentile of this policy's 1,000 replicated outcomes.

VISIBLE RESULTWithin the 5–95% rangeNot evidence of a repeatable advantage

Current bankroll

R 10 905

Total allocated

R 10 0001 / 6 allocations

Observed lifetime P&L

R 905

Expected P&L given wagers

-R 2 961Deviation R 3 865

The six-month record

Profit and loss over time

Month-six visible P&L R 905. Bankroll allocations used: 1.

The same policy under new random paths

-R 9 928

Median final P&L across worlds

5th–95th percentile: -R 17 385 to R 29 697
Finished ahead: 232 / 1,000 (23,2%)
At least one ruin: 275 / 1,000 (27,5%)
Median rank: #950 / 1,000

The fixed behaviour

Policy settings

Base stake: 16,96% of bankroll
Sessions / week: 1.272
Mean bets / session: 4.94
Loss multiplier: 1.0894×, capped at 1 escalations
Stop loss / win: 80,2% / 95,3% of session-start bankroll

The recorded exposure

Where the money was wagered

Virtual Sports BettingR 14 00028 wagers · RTP 97,02%

BaccaratR 13 67814 wagers · RTP 77,14%

Craps / DiceR 12 70113 wagers · RTP 107,69%

High-Volatility Video SlotR 10 75043 wagers · RTP 20,93%

CrashR 10 00020 wagers · RTP 192,50%

American RouletteR 9 77010 wagers · RTP 110,00%

BlackjackR 8 7939 wagers · RTP 150,00%

Three-Reel SlotR 2 75011 wagers · RTP 68,18%

Lottery / JackpotR 1 00010 wagers · RTP 20,00%

European RouletteR 9771 wagers · RTP 0,00%

What this profile can — and cannot — show

A smaller loss is not a profit, and a high rank does not prove skill. Behaviour changes both the wagers selected and the amount of exposure. “Expected” and “luck” are descriptive components, not a perfect causal separation.

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