Synthetic policy · visible-world rank #669 of 1,000

P0519

Large bets, infrequent. The visible result sits at the 33,5% percentile of this policy's 1,000 replicated outcomes.

VISIBLE RESULTWithin the 5–95% rangeNot evidence of a repeatable advantage

Current bankroll

R 6 026

Total allocated

R 10 0001 / 6 allocations

Observed lifetime P&L

-R 3 974

Expected P&L given wagers

-R 487Deviation -R 3 487

The six-month record

Profit and loss over time

Month-six visible P&L -R 3 974. Bankroll allocations used: 1.

The same policy under new random paths

-R 2 230

Median final P&L across worlds

5th–95th percentile: -R 8 221 to R 9 852
Finished ahead: 340 / 1,000 (34,0%)
At least one ruin: 0 / 1,000 (0,0%)
Median rank: #569 / 1,000

The fixed behaviour

Policy settings

Base stake: 17,31% of bankroll
Sessions / week: 0.594
Mean bets / session: 1.717
Loss multiplier: 1.0154×, capped at 2 escalations
Stop loss / win: 84,9% / 146,0% of session-start bankroll

The recorded exposure

Where the money was wagered

American RouletteR 2 6555 wagers · RTP 0,00%

CrashR 2 5005 wagers · RTP 90,00%

BlackjackR 1 0622 wagers · RTP 100,00%

Lottery / JackpotR 6006 wagers · RTP 0,00%

European RouletteR 5311 wagers · RTP 200,00%

Virtual Sports BettingR 5001 wagers · RTP 0,00%

Three-Reel SlotR 2501 wagers · RTP 0,00%

High-Volatility Video SlotR 2501 wagers · RTP 0,00%

What this profile can — and cannot — show

A smaller loss is not a profit, and a high rank does not prove skill. Behaviour changes both the wagers selected and the amount of exposure. “Expected” and “luck” are descriptive components, not a perfect causal separation.

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