Synthetic policy · visible-world rank #676 of 1,000

P0526

Large bets, infrequent. The visible result sits at the 30,3% percentile of this policy's 1,000 replicated outcomes.

VISIBLE RESULTWithin the 5–95% rangeNot evidence of a repeatable advantage

Current bankroll

R 5 913

Total allocated

R 10 0001 / 6 allocations

Observed lifetime P&L

-R 4 088

Expected P&L given wagers

-R 273Deviation -R 3 814

The six-month record

Profit and loss over time

Month-six visible P&L -R 4 088. Bankroll allocations used: 1.

The same policy under new random paths

-R 2 240

Median final P&L across worlds

5th–95th percentile: -R 7 512 to R 13 080
Finished ahead: 288 / 1,000 (28,8%)
At least one ruin: 0 / 1,000 (0,0%)
Median rank: #575 / 1,000

The fixed behaviour

Policy settings

Base stake: 19,68% of bankroll
Sessions / week: 0.328
Mean bets / session: 2.02
Loss multiplier: 1.0036×, capped at 1 escalations
Stop loss / win: 60,6% / 115,2% of session-start bankroll

The recorded exposure

Where the money was wagered

American RouletteR 1 8902 wagers · RTP 0,00%

European RouletteR 9451 wagers · RTP 0,00%

BlackjackR 9451 wagers · RTP 250,00%

BaccaratR 9451 wagers · RTP 0,00%

Three-Reel SlotR 7503 wagers · RTP 83,33%

High-Volatility Video SlotR 5002 wagers · RTP 0,00%

Virtual Sports BettingR 5001 wagers · RTP 0,00%

CrashR 5001 wagers · RTP 0,00%

Lottery / JackpotR 1001 wagers · RTP 0,00%

What this profile can — and cannot — show

A smaller loss is not a profit, and a high rank does not prove skill. Behaviour changes both the wagers selected and the amount of exposure. “Expected” and “luck” are descriptive components, not a perfect causal separation.

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