Synthetic policy · visible-world rank #610 of 1,000

P0535

Large bets, infrequent. The visible result sits at the 41,9% percentile of this policy's 1,000 replicated outcomes.

VISIBLE RESULTWithin the 5–95% rangeNot evidence of a repeatable advantage

Current bankroll

R 7 005

Total allocated

R 10 0001 / 6 allocations

Observed lifetime P&L

-R 2 995

Expected P&L given wagers

-R 478Deviation -R 2 517

The six-month record

Profit and loss over time

Month-six visible P&L -R 2 995. Bankroll allocations used: 1.

The same policy under new random paths

-R 2 175

Median final P&L across worlds

5th–95th percentile: -R 7 304 to R 12 140
Finished ahead: 291 / 1,000 (29,1%)
At least one ruin: 0 / 1,000 (0,0%)
Median rank: #562 / 1,000

The fixed behaviour

Policy settings

Base stake: 20,02% of bankroll
Sessions / week: 0.565
Mean bets / session: 1.51
Loss multiplier: 1.1123×, capped at 2 escalations
Stop loss / win: 80,0% / 110,7% of session-start bankroll

The recorded exposure

Where the money was wagered

American RouletteR 3 5505 wagers · RTP 0,00%

BlackjackR 1 4202 wagers · RTP 200,00%

European RouletteR 1 4202 wagers · RTP 200,00%

CrashR 1 0002 wagers · RTP 0,00%

Lottery / JackpotR 8008 wagers · RTP 75,00%

BaccaratR 7101 wagers · RTP 0,00%

Three-Reel SlotR 5002 wagers · RTP 25,00%

What this profile can — and cannot — show

A smaller loss is not a profit, and a high rank does not prove skill. Behaviour changes both the wagers selected and the amount of exposure. “Expected” and “luck” are descriptive components, not a perfect causal separation.

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