Synthetic policy · visible-world rank #555 of 1,000

P0543

Large bets, infrequent. The visible result sits at the 29,8% percentile of this policy's 1,000 replicated outcomes.

VISIBLE RESULTWithin the 5–95% rangeNot evidence of a repeatable advantage

Current bankroll

R 7 641

Total allocated

R 10 0001 / 6 allocations

Observed lifetime P&L

-R 2 359

Expected P&L given wagers

-R 394Deviation -R 1 965

The six-month record

Profit and loss over time

Month-six visible P&L -R 2 359. Bankroll allocations used: 1.

The same policy under new random paths

-R 1 376

Median final P&L across worlds

5th–95th percentile: -R 3 964 to R 5 143
Finished ahead: 265 / 1,000 (26,5%)
At least one ruin: 0 / 1,000 (0,0%)
Median rank: #473 / 1,000

The fixed behaviour

Policy settings

Base stake: 13,96% of bankroll
Sessions / week: 0.51
Mean bets / session: 2.487
Loss multiplier: 1.0398×, capped at 2 escalations
Stop loss / win: 67,0% / 103,4% of session-start bankroll

The recorded exposure

Where the money was wagered

BlackjackR 2 56311 wagers · RTP 77,27%

American RouletteR 2 0979 wagers · RTP 66,67%

High-Volatility Video SlotR 1 1655 wagers · RTP 20,00%

BaccaratR 6993 wagers · RTP 131,67%

Lottery / JackpotR 6006 wagers · RTP 0,00%

CrashR 4662 wagers · RTP 250,00%

Three-Reel SlotR 2331 wagers · RTP 0,00%

Virtual Sports BettingR 2331 wagers · RTP 0,00%

Craps / DiceR 2331 wagers · RTP 200,00%

European RouletteR 2331 wagers · RTP 0,00%

What this profile can — and cannot — show

A smaller loss is not a profit, and a high rank does not prove skill. Behaviour changes both the wagers selected and the amount of exposure. “Expected” and “luck” are descriptive components, not a perfect causal separation.

← Return to all 1,000 policies