Synthetic policy · visible-world rank #570 of 1,000

P0551

Large bets, infrequent. The visible result sits at the 31,8% percentile of this policy's 1,000 replicated outcomes.

VISIBLE RESULTWithin the 5–95% rangeNot evidence of a repeatable advantage

Current bankroll

R 7 526

Total allocated

R 10 0001 / 6 allocations

Observed lifetime P&L

-R 2 474

Expected P&L given wagers

-R 364Deviation -R 2 110

The six-month record

Profit and loss over time

Month-six visible P&L -R 2 474. Bankroll allocations used: 1.

The same policy under new random paths

-R 1 569

Median final P&L across worlds

5th–95th percentile: -R 5 171 to R 8 862
Finished ahead: 287 / 1,000 (28,7%)
At least one ruin: 0 / 1,000 (0,0%)
Median rank: #495 / 1,000

The fixed behaviour

Policy settings

Base stake: 13,50% of bankroll
Sessions / week: 0.258
Mean bets / session: 1.6
Loss multiplier: 1.0397×, capped at 1 escalations
Stop loss / win: 56,5% / 106,4% of session-start bankroll

The recorded exposure

Where the money was wagered

American RouletteR 2 1723 wagers · RTP 0,00%

European RouletteR 2 1723 wagers · RTP 100,00%

BlackjackR 1 4482 wagers · RTP 150,00%

Craps / DiceR 7241 wagers · RTP 200,00%

Lottery / JackpotR 5005 wagers · RTP 0,00%

Three-Reel SlotR 5002 wagers · RTP 0,00%

CrashR 5001 wagers · RTP 0,00%

High-Volatility Video SlotR 2501 wagers · RTP 0,00%

What this profile can — and cannot — show

A smaller loss is not a profit, and a high rank does not prove skill. Behaviour changes both the wagers selected and the amount of exposure. “Expected” and “luck” are descriptive components, not a perfect causal separation.

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