Synthetic policy · visible-world rank #426 of 1,000

P0553

Large bets, infrequent. The visible result sits at the 56,8% percentile of this policy's 1,000 replicated outcomes.

VISIBLE RESULTWithin the 5–95% rangeNot evidence of a repeatable advantage

Current bankroll

R 8 875

Total allocated

R 10 0001 / 6 allocations

Observed lifetime P&L

-R 1 125

Expected P&L given wagers

-R 168Deviation -R 957

The six-month record

Profit and loss over time

Month-six visible P&L -R 1 125. Bankroll allocations used: 1.

The same policy under new random paths

-R 1 578

Median final P&L across worlds

5th–95th percentile: -R 4 884 to R 8 449
Finished ahead: 293 / 1,000 (29,3%)
At least one ruin: 0 / 1,000 (0,0%)
Median rank: #500 / 1,000

The fixed behaviour

Policy settings

Base stake: 17,11% of bankroll
Sessions / week: 0.339
Mean bets / session: 1.655
Loss multiplier: 1.0281×, capped at 1 escalations
Stop loss / win: 55,9% / 144,0% of session-start bankroll

The recorded exposure

Where the money was wagered

BlackjackR 1 1862 wagers · RTP 200,00%

Virtual Sports BettingR 1 0002 wagers · RTP 0,00%

European RouletteR 5931 wagers · RTP 0,00%

BaccaratR 5931 wagers · RTP 100,00%

American RouletteR 5931 wagers · RTP 0,00%

CrashR 5001 wagers · RTP 125,00%

High-Volatility Video SlotR 2501 wagers · RTP 0,00%

What this profile can — and cannot — show

A smaller loss is not a profit, and a high rank does not prove skill. Behaviour changes both the wagers selected and the amount of exposure. “Expected” and “luck” are descriptive components, not a perfect causal separation.

← Return to all 1,000 policies