Synthetic policy · visible-world rank #93 of 1,000

P0569

Large bets, infrequent. The visible result sits at the 89,9% percentile of this policy's 1,000 replicated outcomes.

VISIBLE RESULTWithin the 5–95% rangeNot evidence of a repeatable advantage

Current bankroll

R 13 550

Total allocated

R 10 0001 / 6 allocations

Observed lifetime P&L

R 3 550

Expected P&L given wagers

-R 242Deviation R 3 792

The six-month record

Profit and loss over time

Month-six visible P&L R 3 550. Bankroll allocations used: 1.

The same policy under new random paths

-R 1 752

Median final P&L across worlds

5th–95th percentile: -R 4 942 to R 6 448
Finished ahead: 277 / 1,000 (27,7%)
At least one ruin: 0 / 1,000 (0,0%)
Median rank: #516 / 1,000

The fixed behaviour

Policy settings

Base stake: 19,89% of bankroll
Sessions / week: 0.557
Mean bets / session: 1.138
Loss multiplier: 1.0052×, capped at 2 escalations
Stop loss / win: 80,7% / 74,5% of session-start bankroll

The recorded exposure

Where the money was wagered

CrashR 2 0004 wagers · RTP 300,00%

BlackjackR 1 0262 wagers · RTP 100,00%

BaccaratR 5131 wagers · RTP 0,00%

European RouletteR 5131 wagers · RTP 300,00%

American RouletteR 5131 wagers · RTP 0,00%

High-Volatility Video SlotR 2501 wagers · RTP 0,00%

Lottery / JackpotR 2002 wagers · RTP 0,00%

What this profile can — and cannot — show

A smaller loss is not a profit, and a high rank does not prove skill. Behaviour changes both the wagers selected and the amount of exposure. “Expected” and “luck” are descriptive components, not a perfect causal separation.

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