Synthetic policy · visible-world rank #199 of 1,000

P0601

Loss-chasing. The visible result sits at the 73,5% percentile of this policy's 1,000 replicated outcomes.

VISIBLE RESULTWithin the 5–95% rangeNot evidence of a repeatable advantage

Current bankroll

R 10 165

Total allocated

R 10 0001 / 6 allocations

Observed lifetime P&L

R 165

Expected P&L given wagers

-R 2 218Deviation R 2 383

The six-month record

Profit and loss over time

Month-six visible P&L R 165. Bankroll allocations used: 1.

The same policy under new random paths

-R 6 236

Median final P&L across worlds

5th–95th percentile: -R 9 759 to R 18 042
Finished ahead: 269 / 1,000 (26,9%)
At least one ruin: 0 / 1,000 (0,0%)
Median rank: #803 / 1,000

The fixed behaviour

Policy settings

Base stake: 2,99% of bankroll
Sessions / week: 0.826
Mean bets / session: 4.084
Loss multiplier: 1.3401×, capped at 5 escalations
Stop loss / win: 65,5% / 80,6% of session-start bankroll

The recorded exposure

Where the money was wagered

CrashR 7 35617 wagers · RTP 114,61%

Craps / DiceR 6 16813 wagers · RTP 88,04%

American RouletteR 5 11610 wagers · RTP 33,78%

European RouletteR 4 13310 wagers · RTP 239,20%

BlackjackR 2 8805 wagers · RTP 120,00%

High-Volatility Video SlotR 1 2505 wagers · RTP 0,00%

Lottery / JackpotR 1 00010 wagers · RTP 20,00%

BaccaratR 5631 wagers · RTP 0,00%

Three-Reel SlotR 5002 wagers · RTP 0,00%

What this profile can — and cannot — show

A smaller loss is not a profit, and a high rank does not prove skill. Behaviour changes both the wagers selected and the amount of exposure. “Expected” and “luck” are descriptive components, not a perfect causal separation.

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