Synthetic policy · visible-world rank #382 of 1,000

P0602

Loss-chasing. The visible result sits at the 65,0% percentile of this policy's 1,000 replicated outcomes.

VISIBLE RESULTWithin the 5–95% rangeNot evidence of a repeatable advantage

Current bankroll

R 9 277

Total allocated

R 10 0001 / 6 allocations

Observed lifetime P&L

-R 723

Expected P&L given wagers

-R 1 145Deviation R 422

The six-month record

Profit and loss over time

Month-six visible P&L -R 723. Bankroll allocations used: 1.

The same policy under new random paths

-R 3 032

Median final P&L across worlds

5th–95th percentile: -R 9 202 to R 15 138
Finished ahead: 331 / 1,000 (33,1%)
At least one ruin: 0 / 1,000 (0,0%)
Median rank: #642 / 1,000

The fixed behaviour

Policy settings

Base stake: 3,47% of bankroll
Sessions / week: 0.882
Mean bets / session: 4.212
Loss multiplier: 1.421×, capped at 5 escalations
Stop loss / win: 66,3% / 72,2% of session-start bankroll

The recorded exposure

Where the money was wagered

American RouletteR 7 10425 wagers · RTP 33,22%

CrashR 6 02521 wagers · RTP 129,76%

Craps / DiceR 5 53719 wagers · RTP 83,55%

Virtual Sports BettingR 3 97614 wagers · RTP 136,20%

European RouletteR 2 2398 wagers · RTP 270,79%

BaccaratR 2 0657 wagers · RTP 70,00%

High-Volatility Video SlotR 1 7507 wagers · RTP 14,29%

Three-Reel SlotR 9894 wagers · RTP 100,00%

BlackjackR 8853 wagers · RTP 133,33%

Lottery / JackpotR 3003 wagers · RTP 0,00%

What this profile can — and cannot — show

A smaller loss is not a profit, and a high rank does not prove skill. Behaviour changes both the wagers selected and the amount of exposure. “Expected” and “luck” are descriptive components, not a perfect causal separation.

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