Synthetic policy · visible-world rank #882 of 1,000

P0611

Loss-chasing. The visible result sits at the 20,4% percentile of this policy's 1,000 replicated outcomes.

VISIBLE RESULTWithin the 5–95% rangeNot evidence of a repeatable advantage

Current bankroll

R 1 547

Total allocated

R 10 0001 / 6 allocations

Observed lifetime P&L

-R 8 453

Expected P&L given wagers

-R 1 051Deviation -R 7 402

The six-month record

Profit and loss over time

Month-six visible P&L -R 8 453. Bankroll allocations used: 1.

The same policy under new random paths

-R 4 429

Median final P&L across worlds

5th–95th percentile: -R 9 650 to R 18 143
Finished ahead: 295 / 1,000 (29,5%)
At least one ruin: 0 / 1,000 (0,0%)
Median rank: #726 / 1,000

The fixed behaviour

Policy settings

Base stake: 3,87% of bankroll
Sessions / week: 0.981
Mean bets / session: 3.499
Loss multiplier: 1.3879×, capped at 6 escalations
Stop loss / win: 86,0% / 86,5% of session-start bankroll

The recorded exposure

Where the money was wagered

CrashR 5 99519 wagers · RTP 91,26%

European RouletteR 5 87017 wagers · RTP 28,14%

American RouletteR 5 15614 wagers · RTP 76,11%

Craps / DiceR 2 5768 wagers · RTP 59,05%

BaccaratR 1 5935 wagers · RTP 67,92%

Virtual Sports BettingR 1 5666 wagers · RTP 89,98%

High-Volatility Video SlotR 1 3376 wagers · RTP 93,49%

BlackjackR 1 3014 wagers · RTP 113,91%

Three-Reel SlotR 1 2505 wagers · RTP 40,00%

Lottery / JackpotR 1001 wagers · RTP 0,00%

What this profile can — and cannot — show

A smaller loss is not a profit, and a high rank does not prove skill. Behaviour changes both the wagers selected and the amount of exposure. “Expected” and “luck” are descriptive components, not a perfect causal separation.

← Return to all 1,000 policies