Synthetic policy · visible-world rank #838 of 1,000

P0621

Loss-chasing. The visible result sits at the 29,5% percentile of this policy's 1,000 replicated outcomes.

VISIBLE RESULTWithin the 5–95% rangeNot evidence of a repeatable advantage

Current bankroll

R 2 898

Total allocated

R 10 0001 / 6 allocations

Observed lifetime P&L

-R 7 102

Expected P&L given wagers

-R 1 077Deviation -R 6 025

The six-month record

Profit and loss over time

Month-six visible P&L -R 7 102. Bankroll allocations used: 1.

The same policy under new random paths

-R 3 956

Median final P&L across worlds

5th–95th percentile: -R 9 517 to R 18 521
Finished ahead: 320 / 1,000 (32,0%)
At least one ruin: 0 / 1,000 (0,0%)
Median rank: #705 / 1,000

The fixed behaviour

Policy settings

Base stake: 3,24% of bankroll
Sessions / week: 1.081
Mean bets / session: 3.319
Loss multiplier: 1.5096×, capped at 5 escalations
Stop loss / win: 74,5% / 58,2% of session-start bankroll

The recorded exposure

Where the money was wagered

American RouletteR 6 72916 wagers · RTP 33,59%

Craps / DiceR 6 35517 wagers · RTP 78,58%

European RouletteR 4 43812 wagers · RTP 20,75%

CrashR 4 05212 wagers · RTP 145,43%

BlackjackR 2 5457 wagers · RTP 118,15%

Three-Reel SlotR 1 9488 wagers · RTP 72,07%

Virtual Sports BettingR 1 9146 wagers · RTP 125,91%

BaccaratR 1 5264 wagers · RTP 158,33%

High-Volatility Video SlotR 1 0004 wagers · RTP 50,00%

Lottery / JackpotR 4004 wagers · RTP 0,00%

What this profile can — and cannot — show

A smaller loss is not a profit, and a high rank does not prove skill. Behaviour changes both the wagers selected and the amount of exposure. “Expected” and “luck” are descriptive components, not a perfect causal separation.

← Return to all 1,000 policies