Synthetic policy · visible-world rank #520 of 1,000

P0655

Loss-chasing. The visible result sits at the 71,0% percentile of this policy's 1,000 replicated outcomes.

VISIBLE RESULTWithin the 5–95% rangeNot evidence of a repeatable advantage

Current bankroll

R 8 025

Total allocated

R 10 0001 / 6 allocations

Observed lifetime P&L

-R 1 975

Expected P&L given wagers

-R 2 082Deviation R 107

The six-month record

Profit and loss over time

Month-six visible P&L -R 1 975. Bankroll allocations used: 1.

The same policy under new random paths

-R 6 882

Median final P&L across worlds

5th–95th percentile: -R 9 736 to R 23 724
Finished ahead: 248 / 1,000 (24,8%)
At least one ruin: 0 / 1,000 (0,0%)
Median rank: #826 / 1,000

The fixed behaviour

Policy settings

Base stake: 3,98% of bankroll
Sessions / week: 1.113
Mean bets / session: 4.502
Loss multiplier: 1.4243×, capped at 3 escalations
Stop loss / win: 68,9% / 75,4% of session-start bankroll

The recorded exposure

Where the money was wagered

American RouletteR 13 45821 wagers · RTP 102,94%

Craps / DiceR 13 24721 wagers · RTP 87,02%

CrashR 9 07919 wagers · RTP 97,75%

BlackjackR 5 5628 wagers · RTP 95,07%

Virtual Sports BettingR 5 00010 wagers · RTP 155,37%

Three-Reel SlotR 4 75019 wagers · RTP 50,00%

BaccaratR 4 0466 wagers · RTP 138,20%

European RouletteR 3 8706 wagers · RTP 76,43%

High-Volatility Video SlotR 1 5006 wagers · RTP 33,33%

Lottery / JackpotR 4004 wagers · RTP 50,00%

What this profile can — and cannot — show

A smaller loss is not a profit, and a high rank does not prove skill. Behaviour changes both the wagers selected and the amount of exposure. “Expected” and “luck” are descriptive components, not a perfect causal separation.

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