Synthetic policy · visible-world rank #837 of 1,000

P0672

Loss-chasing. The visible result sits at the 66,6% percentile of this policy's 1,000 replicated outcomes.

VISIBLE RESULTWithin the 5–95% rangeNot evidence of a repeatable advantage

Current bankroll

R 2 907

Total allocated

R 10 0001 / 6 allocations

Observed lifetime P&L

-R 7 093

Expected P&L given wagers

-R 3 951Deviation -R 3 142

The six-month record

Profit and loss over time

Month-six visible P&L -R 7 093. Bankroll allocations used: 1.

The same policy under new random paths

-R 9 372

Median final P&L across worlds

5th–95th percentile: -R 9 991 to R 27 404
Finished ahead: 203 / 1,000 (20,3%)
At least one ruin: 28 / 1,000 (2,8%)
Median rank: #912 / 1,000

The fixed behaviour

Policy settings

Base stake: 5,31% of bankroll
Sessions / week: 1.303
Mean bets / session: 4.389
Loss multiplier: 1.3665×, capped at 4 escalations
Stop loss / win: 68,0% / 68,2% of session-start bankroll

The recorded exposure

Where the money was wagered

American RouletteR 28 29642 wagers · RTP 101,45%

Craps / DiceR 19 13629 wagers · RTP 88,53%

CrashR 8 82219 wagers · RTP 125,11%

European RouletteR 6 0137 wagers · RTP 103,38%

High-Volatility Video SlotR 4 24717 wagers · RTP 5,89%

BaccaratR 4 2198 wagers · RTP 59,42%

Virtual Sports BettingR 4 18910 wagers · RTP 138,46%

BlackjackR 2 7534 wagers · RTP 71,78%

Three-Reel SlotR 1 7507 wagers · RTP 0,00%

Lottery / JackpotR 1 50015 wagers · RTP 26,67%

What this profile can — and cannot — show

A smaller loss is not a profit, and a high rank does not prove skill. Behaviour changes both the wagers selected and the amount of exposure. “Expected” and “luck” are descriptive components, not a perfect causal separation.

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