Synthetic policy · visible-world rank #893 of 1,000

P0675

Loss-chasing. The visible result sits at the 7,5% percentile of this policy's 1,000 replicated outcomes.

VISIBLE RESULTWithin the 5–95% rangeNot evidence of a repeatable advantage

Current bankroll

R 1 338

Total allocated

R 10 0001 / 6 allocations

Observed lifetime P&L

-R 8 662

Expected P&L given wagers

-R 1 000Deviation -R 7 662

The six-month record

Profit and loss over time

Month-six visible P&L -R 8 662. Bankroll allocations used: 1.

The same policy under new random paths

-R 3 274

Median final P&L across worlds

5th–95th percentile: -R 9 100 to R 10 209
Finished ahead: 303 / 1,000 (30,3%)
At least one ruin: 0 / 1,000 (0,0%)
Median rank: #661 / 1,000

The fixed behaviour

Policy settings

Base stake: 3,86% of bankroll
Sessions / week: 1.203
Mean bets / session: 3.296
Loss multiplier: 1.5674×, capped at 5 escalations
Stop loss / win: 73,1% / 63,8% of session-start bankroll

The recorded exposure

Where the money was wagered

CrashR 4 81723 wagers · RTP 36,96%

American RouletteR 4 46619 wagers · RTP 52,60%

Three-Reel SlotR 3 04718 wagers · RTP 58,89%

Craps / DiceR 3 03313 wagers · RTP 139,00%

BlackjackR 1 5296 wagers · RTP 68,28%

High-Volatility Video SlotR 1 2505 wagers · RTP 0,00%

Virtual Sports BettingR 1 0444 wagers · RTP 63,25%

BaccaratR 8324 wagers · RTP 74,52%

Lottery / JackpotR 7808 wagers · RTP 0,00%

European RouletteR 5023 wagers · RTP 34,66%

What this profile can — and cannot — show

A smaller loss is not a profit, and a high rank does not prove skill. Behaviour changes both the wagers selected and the amount of exposure. “Expected” and “luck” are descriptive components, not a perfect causal separation.

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