Synthetic policy · visible-world rank #196 of 1,000

P0699

Loss-chasing. The visible result sits at the 75,7% percentile of this policy's 1,000 replicated outcomes.

VISIBLE RESULTWithin the 5–95% rangeNot evidence of a repeatable advantage

Current bankroll

R 10 173

Total allocated

R 10 0001 / 6 allocations

Observed lifetime P&L

R 173

Expected P&L given wagers

-R 1 720Deviation R 1 893

The six-month record

Profit and loss over time

Month-six visible P&L R 173. Bankroll allocations used: 1.

The same policy under new random paths

-R 3 877

Median final P&L across worlds

5th–95th percentile: -R 9 598 to R 9 070
Finished ahead: 252 / 1,000 (25,2%)
At least one ruin: 0 / 1,000 (0,0%)
Median rank: #697 / 1,000

The fixed behaviour

Policy settings

Base stake: 3,72% of bankroll
Sessions / week: 1.228
Mean bets / session: 3.138
Loss multiplier: 1.4367×, capped at 4 escalations
Stop loss / win: 89,0% / 95,1% of session-start bankroll

The recorded exposure

Where the money was wagered

CrashR 7 17229 wagers · RTP 103,81%

Craps / DiceR 4 26717 wagers · RTP 88,24%

American RouletteR 3 72415 wagers · RTP 140,66%

Virtual Sports BettingR 1 5066 wagers · RTP 42,56%

BlackjackR 1 4916 wagers · RTP 149,50%

High-Volatility Video SlotR 1 4736 wagers · RTP 33,06%

BaccaratR 1 2245 wagers · RTP 0,00%

Three-Reel SlotR 7503 wagers · RTP 0,00%

European RouletteR 7373 wagers · RTP 408,68%

Lottery / JackpotR 5005 wagers · RTP 40,00%

What this profile can — and cannot — show

A smaller loss is not a profit, and a high rank does not prove skill. Behaviour changes both the wagers selected and the amount of exposure. “Expected” and “luck” are descriptive components, not a perfect causal separation.

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