Synthetic policy · visible-world rank #427 of 1,000

P0702

Strict limits. The visible result sits at the 51,8% percentile of this policy's 1,000 replicated outcomes.

VISIBLE RESULTWithin the 5–95% rangeNot evidence of a repeatable advantage

Current bankroll

R 8 874

Total allocated

R 10 0001 / 6 allocations

Observed lifetime P&L

-R 1 126

Expected P&L given wagers

-R 416Deviation -R 710

The six-month record

Profit and loss over time

Month-six visible P&L -R 1 126. Bankroll allocations used: 1.

The same policy under new random paths

-R 1 246

Median final P&L across worlds

5th–95th percentile: -R 3 207 to R 3 771
Finished ahead: 244 / 1,000 (24,4%)
At least one ruin: 0 / 1,000 (0,0%)
Median rank: #453 / 1,000

The fixed behaviour

Policy settings

Base stake: 0,70% of bankroll
Sessions / week: 1.154
Mean bets / session: 3.654
Loss multiplier: 1.0147×, capped at 2 escalations
Stop loss / win: 14,6% / 12,3% of session-start bankroll

The recorded exposure

Where the money was wagered

American RouletteR 1 48722 wagers · RTP 110,76%

European RouletteR 1 13217 wagers · RTP 78,27%

CrashR 70411 wagers · RTP 96,27%

High-Volatility Video SlotR 66610 wagers · RTP 10,36%

BlackjackR 65510 wagers · RTP 117,56%

Virtual Sports BettingR 65510 wagers · RTP 147,85%

BaccaratR 5418 wagers · RTP 0,00%

Three-Reel SlotR 5048 wagers · RTP 61,41%

Craps / DiceR 3285 wagers · RTP 103,66%

Lottery / JackpotR 2584 wagers · RTP 52,71%

What this profile can — and cannot — show

A smaller loss is not a profit, and a high rank does not prove skill. Behaviour changes both the wagers selected and the amount of exposure. “Expected” and “luck” are descriptive components, not a perfect causal separation.

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