Synthetic policy · visible-world rank #437 of 1,000

P0704

Strict limits. The visible result sits at the 57,0% percentile of this policy's 1,000 replicated outcomes.

VISIBLE RESULTWithin the 5–95% rangeNot evidence of a repeatable advantage

Current bankroll

R 8 777

Total allocated

R 10 0001 / 6 allocations

Observed lifetime P&L

-R 1 223

Expected P&L given wagers

-R 386Deviation -R 837

The six-month record

Profit and loss over time

Month-six visible P&L -R 1 223. Bankroll allocations used: 1.

The same policy under new random paths

-R 1 535

Median final P&L across worlds

5th–95th percentile: -R 3 529 to R 4 259
Finished ahead: 229 / 1,000 (22,9%)
At least one ruin: 0 / 1,000 (0,0%)
Median rank: #493 / 1,000

The fixed behaviour

Policy settings

Base stake: 1,77% of bankroll
Sessions / week: 0.734
Mean bets / session: 2.93
Loss multiplier: 1.0159×, capped at 1 escalations
Stop loss / win: 13,7% / 24,3% of session-start bankroll

The recorded exposure

Where the money was wagered

BaccaratR 3 72023 wagers · RTP 125,31%

Virtual Sports BettingR 1 64610 wagers · RTP 117,29%

European RouletteR 1 1577 wagers · RTP 57,74%

High-Volatility Video SlotR 1 0326 wagers · RTP 34,11%

CrashR 8305 wagers · RTP 46,08%

American RouletteR 5293 wagers · RTP 67,30%

Three-Reel SlotR 5113 wagers · RTP 33,37%

Lottery / JackpotR 5005 wagers · RTP 0,00%

Craps / DiceR 1811 wagers · RTP 200,00%

What this profile can — and cannot — show

A smaller loss is not a profit, and a high rank does not prove skill. Behaviour changes both the wagers selected and the amount of exposure. “Expected” and “luck” are descriptive components, not a perfect causal separation.

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