Synthetic policy · visible-world rank #638 of 1,000

P0706

Strict limits. The visible result sits at the 41,7% percentile of this policy's 1,000 replicated outcomes.

VISIBLE RESULTWithin the 5–95% rangeNot evidence of a repeatable advantage

Current bankroll

R 6 654

Total allocated

R 10 0001 / 6 allocations

Observed lifetime P&L

-R 3 346

Expected P&L given wagers

-R 506Deviation -R 2 840

The six-month record

Profit and loss over time

Month-six visible P&L -R 3 346. Bankroll allocations used: 1.

The same policy under new random paths

-R 2 908

Median final P&L across worlds

5th–95th percentile: -R 5 320 to R 14 647
Finished ahead: 233 / 1,000 (23,3%)
At least one ruin: 0 / 1,000 (0,0%)
Median rank: #630 / 1,000

The fixed behaviour

Policy settings

Base stake: 1,73% of bankroll
Sessions / week: 1.164
Mean bets / session: 3.103
Loss multiplier: 1.0089×, capped at 1 escalations
Stop loss / win: 13,6% / 23,0% of session-start bankroll

The recorded exposure

Where the money was wagered

European RouletteR 4 07827 wagers · RTP 102,77%

High-Volatility Video SlotR 3 51123 wagers · RTP 40,56%

BaccaratR 2 67220 wagers · RTP 52,17%

BlackjackR 1 21810 wagers · RTP 92,82%

Virtual Sports BettingR 7595 wagers · RTP 140,08%

Three-Reel SlotR 6875 wagers · RTP 51,97%

CrashR 5514 wagers · RTP 106,53%

Lottery / JackpotR 4004 wagers · RTP 0,00%

American RouletteR 2652 wagers · RTP 183,40%

Craps / DiceR 1621 wagers · RTP 200,00%

What this profile can — and cannot — show

A smaller loss is not a profit, and a high rank does not prove skill. Behaviour changes both the wagers selected and the amount of exposure. “Expected” and “luck” are descriptive components, not a perfect causal separation.

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