Synthetic policy · visible-world rank #130 of 1,000

P0708

Strict limits. The visible result sits at the 84,0% percentile of this policy's 1,000 replicated outcomes.

VISIBLE RESULTWithin the 5–95% rangeNot evidence of a repeatable advantage

Current bankroll

R 11 460

Total allocated

R 10 0001 / 6 allocations

Observed lifetime P&L

R 1 460

Expected P&L given wagers

-R 578Deviation R 2 038

The six-month record

Profit and loss over time

Month-six visible P&L R 1 460. Bankroll allocations used: 1.

The same policy under new random paths

-R 2 075

Median final P&L across worlds

5th–95th percentile: -R 4 563 to R 7 916
Finished ahead: 253 / 1,000 (25,3%)
At least one ruin: 0 / 1,000 (0,0%)
Median rank: #553 / 1,000

The fixed behaviour

Policy settings

Base stake: 1,58% of bankroll
Sessions / week: 1.146
Mean bets / session: 3.444
Loss multiplier: 1.0076×, capped at 1 escalations
Stop loss / win: 8,7% / 13,9% of session-start bankroll

The recorded exposure

Where the money was wagered

European RouletteR 3 88927 wagers · RTP 44,15%

Virtual Sports BettingR 2 54317 wagers · RTP 128,31%

BaccaratR 2 37017 wagers · RTP 100,44%

Three-Reel SlotR 1 1318 wagers · RTP 322,10%

American RouletteR 1 0938 wagers · RTP 152,24%

Craps / DiceR 1 0808 wagers · RTP 98,15%

CrashR 8966 wagers · RTP 136,44%

BlackjackR 7195 wagers · RTP 158,83%

Lottery / JackpotR 6006 wagers · RTP 0,00%

High-Volatility Video SlotR 3112 wagers · RTP 0,00%

What this profile can — and cannot — show

A smaller loss is not a profit, and a high rank does not prove skill. Behaviour changes both the wagers selected and the amount of exposure. “Expected” and “luck” are descriptive components, not a perfect causal separation.

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