Synthetic policy · visible-world rank #218 of 1,000

P0709

Strict limits. The visible result sits at the 76,8% percentile of this policy's 1,000 replicated outcomes.

VISIBLE RESULTWithin the 5–95% rangeNot evidence of a repeatable advantage

Current bankroll

R 10 040

Total allocated

R 10 0001 / 6 allocations

Observed lifetime P&L

R 40

Expected P&L given wagers

-R 243Deviation R 282

The six-month record

Profit and loss over time

Month-six visible P&L R 40. Bankroll allocations used: 1.

The same policy under new random paths

-R 893

Median final P&L across worlds

5th–95th percentile: -R 2 207 to R 2 088
Finished ahead: 241 / 1,000 (24,1%)
At least one ruin: 0 / 1,000 (0,0%)
Median rank: #409 / 1,000

The fixed behaviour

Policy settings

Base stake: 0,79% of bankroll
Sessions / week: 0.998
Mean bets / session: 3.046
Loss multiplier: 1.0182×, capped at 2 escalations
Stop loss / win: 9,5% / 27,4% of session-start bankroll

The recorded exposure

Where the money was wagered

BaccaratR 1 14315 wagers · RTP 75,94%

CrashR 94613 wagers · RTP 120,53%

European RouletteR 88412 wagers · RTP 25,11%

BlackjackR 66710 wagers · RTP 56,67%

Craps / DiceR 4436 wagers · RTP 0,00%

American RouletteR 4266 wagers · RTP 556,34%

Three-Reel SlotR 3725 wagers · RTP 115,73%

Virtual Sports BettingR 2884 wagers · RTP 0,00%

High-Volatility Video SlotR 1402 wagers · RTP 49,29%

Lottery / JackpotR 1292 wagers · RTP 0,00%

What this profile can — and cannot — show

A smaller loss is not a profit, and a high rank does not prove skill. Behaviour changes both the wagers selected and the amount of exposure. “Expected” and “luck” are descriptive components, not a perfect causal separation.

← Return to all 1,000 policies